A day after Colorado State University’s hurricane researchers revised their 2025 Atlantic hurricane forecast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued its own updated forecast.
The prediction of an above-average hurricane season remains, though the agency has revised “the number of expected named storms to 13-18 (with winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 5-9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), including 2-5 major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).”
The revised figures included the four previously named tropical storms this year.
A typical Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, with seven becoming hurricanes and three becoming major hurricanes, according to the weather agency.
The likelihood of above-normal activity is 50 percent, while there is a chance of a 35 percent near-normal season, and a 15 percent chance of a below-normal season.
The updated prediction is similar to the initial outlook issued in May, the agency stated.
“NOAA stands ready to provide the forecasts and warnings that are vital for safeguarding lives, property, and communities,” said Acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm. “As we enter the second half of the season, this updated hurricane outlook serves as a call to action to prepare now, in advance, rather than delay until a warning is issued.”